Explosive Secrets to Winning Sports Bets

Explosive Secrets to Winning Sports Bets

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Horse Race Handicapping College - The Horse Racing Poly Dirt Mystery

Kentucky Derby Countdown:

19 Days Until May 3rd and the 134th Kentucky Derby

The Horse Racing Poly Dirt Mystery

As the preps for the Kentucky Derby dwindle down to a precious few, the one race that promises to provide the most consternation for handicappers arrived courtesy of California last weekend, coming in the form of Colonel John’s dramatic victory in the Santa Anita Derby.

After winning the Sham while contesting a frigid pace, Colonel John changed his modus operandi and rallied to capture the West Coast’s most important prep with a strong late kick that should bode well for his chances in the mile-and-a-quarter Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs.

Reflecting on the manner of his horse’s victory and the historical importance of the race, trainer Eoin Harty offered some words that seemed apropos at the time but had a somewhat hollow ring to them.

What he said was, “Historically, any horse that’s run well here and come out of this race in one piece usually shows up and runs a very good race on (Kentucky) Derby day. That's what we're hoping for."

Yes, historically they have. But will the trend continue this year when apples will be mixed with oranges?

You see, this year marked the first Santa Anita Derby contested on a synthetic track and now, especially with the expanded number of artificial surfaces in California, there’s one more variable tossed into an already confusing mix because several of the key players in the upcoming May 3 drama at Louisville will be racing on actual dirt for the first time.

Now last year certainly proved that horses can prep for the Triple Crown on artificial surfaces. Both Street Sense and Hard Spun ran on synthetic tracks in their final Kentucky Derby preps and they ran 1-2 at Churchill Downs. Yet both of those horses had won stakes on a dirt track, and Street Sense had taken the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs by a half-furlong, proving his deep affinity for the racing strip in... Rest of Story

Visit Horse Race Handicapping College for more information.

Horse Race Handicapping College - Perfection + Potential = Kentucky Derby Winner?

Kentucky Derby Countdown:

20 Days Until May 3rd and the 134th Kentucky Derby

Perfection + Potential = Kentucky Derby Winner?

There is an unmistakable mystique that envelops the undefeated horse in the Kentucky Derby, the role in which the mercurial Big Brown is cast for the 134th running.

The aura of perfection glows brightly in a world accustomed to and comfortable with an 80 percent rate of failure. When a 3-year-old thoroughbred arrives free of blemish in Kentucky in advance of the first weekend of May, the so-far unstoppable force faces the sport's most daunting challenge short of winning the Triple Crown, the most difficult race in which he (or occasionally she) may ever compete, a test rife with challenge and peril. When such a horse remains unbowed after the Derby, the niche of sport in which racing exists is transcended.

Big Brown looks the part. Even to the untrained eye, he is a physically imposing chestnut, a combination of brawn with speed. He moved seamlessly from turf to dirt and effortlessly from allowance to Grade 1 company, winning the Florida Derby with absolute authority in what has been the most-impressive 9-furlong win of the season by any member of his generation. There is a song about him on You Tube, not a good song, but an exuberant tribute nevertheless. Big Brown already has fans and depending upon whose opinion is offered, he is either the Derby favorite or second-choice. To those who believe he has no chance, this is a betting opportunity.

He is either exactly what horse racing's leaders await, the dominant, unbending heroic figure, 1-5 every time he runs, an animal to whom children will write letters in crayon, or a disappointment in wait for the wheels to come off.

For all the potential, there is much for Big Brown to overcome on May 3.

A sparse campaign is not the trademark of trainer Rick Dutrow and a six-month gap in Big Brown's form was made necessary by hoof problems. No hoof, no horse, as they say, and infirm extremities in the thoroughbred are usually chronic.

He did not begin the season as a Derby prospect, but became one only last month after an explosive win in a race moved from turf to dirt at Gulfstream Park inspired his connections to change direction and target the Florida Derby. Were the Kentucky Derby the principal objective... Rest of Story

Visit Horse Race Handicapping College for more information.

Horse Race Handicapping College - Horse Racing Final Exam With Pyro

Kentucky Derby Countdown:

21 Days Until May 3rd and the 134th Kentucky Derby

Horse Racing Final Exam With Pyro

Already secure in their qualifications for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (G1), Pyro and Cool Coal Man will cross paths for a final exam on Saturday in the $750,000 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) at Keeneland Race Course.

Pyro, one of the leading Derby contenders coming into the year, has only enhanced his reputation with game victories in the Risen Star Stakes (G3) and Louisiana Derby (G2) at Fair Grounds.

Keeneland oddsmaker Mike Battaglia reflected the widespread high regard for Pyro on Wednesday morning when he pegged the Pulpit colt as the even-money favorite on the morning line for the largest Blue Grass field since 1983.

The Blue Grass will be Pyro’s first start on a synthetic surface. Trainer Steve Asmussen sent him to Keeneland about ten days after his three-length victory in the Louisiana Derby on March 8.

“He’s obviously the horse to beat,” said .... Rest of Story

But from a horse handicapper's perspective, just because he is the horse to beat and probably the favorite, does not make him a good selection. He will no doubt be bet down and there will be no value, unless you box him in the 2nd and 3rd hole of an exacta or trifecta.

Be wise in your wagering and do not stray from your money management plan and you will be there for the big ticket horse races.

Visit Horse Race Handicapping College for more information.